NOTE: Changes could be made to bets, but will be made final 10 MTP before each race.
EARLY PICK 3 (R1-R3) EARLY PICK 5 (R1-R5) Race 10-11 Double, R6-11 Pick 6, Early Daily Double 1-2, Late Pick 3 R9-11, Late Pick 5 (R-7-11)
NOTE: If you want some higher class races like G1 races will not be washed off the turf, so you might want to combine bets so that you can have a nice spread to cover the tracks that will be washed off and the ones that will not.
DAILY DOUBLE: (5-6/3)(Normal Conditions)(9-3/2)(Wet Conditions/If R1 goes to dirt)
EARLY PICK 3: (5-6/3/9-3)(Normal Conditions)(9-3/2/8-3)(Wet conditions/if R1 Goes to dirt)
EARLY PICK 5: (5-6/3/9-3/5/3-9-6)(Normal Conditions)(9-3/2/8-3/10-4/4-2)(Wet conditions if certain races applicable go on dirt (check online to figure this out before betting))
LATE PICK 6: (1/1-8/2/1-7/6-1/6-4)(1/1-2-8/3/7-2/6-1/6-7-4)
LATE PICK 5: (1-8/2/1-7/6-1/6-4)(1-2-8/3/7-2/6-1/6-7-4)
LATE DOUBLE: (6/6-7-4)(includes both slop and fast bets combined)
Race 1: Race 1 is a 1-mile allowance race on the turf, which starts the Early Pick 3, Early Pick 5, and Daily Double.
Notes: The race will probably have a speed duel between the 10 and 5 horses and could lead to a hot pace to close into. I expect the 5 to stalk the 10 (due to the fact of the bad post position on the 10, and can close) If this race goes on dirt, I believe the 9 can stalk and win the race at a great price of 15-1.
IF ON DIRT: 9-5-4-8
IF ON TURF: 5-2-10-8
Race 2: Race 2 is a 6-furlong allowance optional claimer which finishes the Daily Double.
Notes: This race does not have much speed, and I feel like the 6 and 3 have great shots at winning this on a regular fast track, but if the race goes to a wet track, I believe the 3 and 2 have great chances of winning with excellent wet ratings and performance in the slop.
IF FAST: 6-3-2-4
IF WET: 3-2-6-4
Race 3: Race 3 is a 7-furlong optional claimer which finishes the pick 3.
Notes: The race has a little bit of speed and I think the 9 has a good shot on a fast track. I like the 3 horse but it has been inconsistent and seems to be inconsistent on the pace. It feels risky and a bad price to bet on at 5/2. (PARTIAL REFUND ON PICK 3 AND PICK 5 (SCRATCH 3))
IF FAST: 9-3-6-8
IF WET: 8-3-4-9
Race 4: Race 4 is a 1 1/16 mile race on the turf.
Notes: This race is a terrible race, and I strongly recommend you do not bet on this race, because there is a ridiculous amount of speed that fades, the only good horse is on the Eligibles list, but there is value in the 5 horse at 10-1 and has proven to be able to go long distances and could benefit on the crazy fast pace.
IF TURF: 5-12-3-4 (does not include eligibles)
IF DIRT: 10-4-1-11
NOTE: IF THERE ARE A LOT OF ELIGIBLES COMING IN, THERE COULD BE A NEW BET ADDED BEFORE POST TIME
NOTE: 1,5,12 are scratched please add a new bet CONSIDER 19.
Race 5: Race 5 is The Eight Belles Stakes (Grade 2) at 7 furlongs on the dirt that finishes the pick 5.
Notes: Tons of speed from the 4, 1, and 9 could lead to a duel that leads a close form the 3 horse at a good price. Lots of horses could win this race so it's a good race to spread your bets on some higher prices. 4 can dominate if the track goes sloppy.
IF FAST: 3-9-6-1
IF WET: 4-2-3-6
Race 6: Race 6 is The Edgewood Stakes (Grade 3) at 1 1/16 miles on the Turf.
NOTES: 1 is the class of the race, no one comes close in buyer figures, the turf will be yielding with rain, perfect for what the 1 wants. Other horses will close including 4 but will have no match to dominance from 1 at a short price of 3/5
IF YIELDING/REGULAR: 1-2-5-4
Race 7: Race 7 is the Alysheba Stakes (Grade 2) at 1 1/16 miles on the dirt.
NOTES: Good race, not much speed but 1 & 8 will close in the exacta, 6 and 2 have a chance if there was more speed in the race.
IF FAST: 1-8-2-6
IF WET: 1-2-6-8
Race 8: Race 8 is the LA Troienne Stakes (Grade 1) at 1 1/16 miles
NOTES: Tons of chalk in this race, but some good horses, bet against the inconsistent favorite 9 and bet the 2 or if it is sloppy let the 3 dominate. Try to pair up some longshots with the 3,2, and possibly 1 on the inside with a wire-loving Santana.
IF FAST: 2-1-3-9
SLOP: 3-2-9-4
Race 9: Race 9 is an allowance optional claimer at 7 furlongs.
NOTES: Difficult race to pick, not much speed in the race, a chance for some longshots. 1 would dominate if it was on dirt, but it will be sloppy and the 1 (not 1A) has an abysmal 280 rating on the slop track.
IF FAST: 1-7-2-4
SLOP: 7-2-4-5
Race 10: Race 10 is the Twin Spires Turf Sprint Stakes (Grade 2) at 5 1/2 furlongs on turf.
NOTES: Will not be washed off, speed duel between 6 and 1 but 6 has great buyers and wins by a couple lengths, 8 and 9 close for 3rd and fourth way behind 1 and 6, for a very chalky race.
IF YIELDING/REGULAR:6-1-8-9
Race 11: Race 11 is the Kentucky Oaks (Grade 1) at 1 1/18 miles on the dirt
NOTES: HUGE longshot 6 will stalk the 7 and the out of form 4 will finish third, in a huge upset with 7 holding on for a second. 1 has a chance in the race and has proven to be good in the slop. 6 unknown on sloppy track but has a great pedigree to back it up and a great price.
IF SLOPPY: 6-7-4-1
IF FAST: 6-4-10-7
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