Our first horse that we will be previewing is 1st place in the contenders standings: Tiz the Law. Tiz The Law is a Constiution-Tizfiz (Tiznow). He has won nearly a million dollars, and has won races such as The Florida Derby (G1), The Holy Bull (G3), and the Champagne (G1). Tiz the Law is trained by Barclay Tagg and was last ridden by Manuel Franco. He was sold as a yearling for $110,000. Now, let us look at his three best races, and we will also analyze his disappointing third place in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G3) last November.
In the Champagne, Tiz the Law trailed behind the quick early pace. Around the turn, he exploded past the 5 and 3 horses and won easily. This race was very impressive and he has a great burst of speed. He also has enough tactical speed to stay close so that he can make his move. Very impressive race.
Again, Tiz the Law stalked the pace and kept it close. He used his excellent speed and burst to take the lead from Ete Indien, and pulled away easily. Tiz the Law makes his wins look so impressive and so easy. Now, let's look at some of the weaknesses of Tiz the Law.
This race was nearly won by an 84-1 long shot, who kept the pace slow throughout the race. What is concerning is that even though the trip was not ideal for Tiz the Law, he could not close and give the burst of speed that we saw in other races. What will happen if he is not set up for a clean trip like the Champagne, Holy Bull, and Florida Derby? There is a possibility that he wont have clear ground to take off in, and that could lead to problems in the Kentucky Derby, a field of 20 horses. My actual prediction will result heavily on his post position. If he can get the ideal post position, he could get a strong trip, and get the burst of speed he needs. If he can not get the ideal post position, he might have a similar race to the Kentucky Jockey Club.
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