Saratoga July 21 Analysis

Saratoga Springs Day 2, July 21 Analysis

Cole Wise

Welcome back to Saratoga Springs Racing! Day 1 was an exciting day, some of our picks were not as good as we thought, because we have realized how much the closers have succeeded so far in the first day of racing. Today's racing will take into account the struggling speed and stalking horse, and the trailing, closing horses. Thanks!

Note: Today we are only giving analysis up to the 8th Race! Thank you! Also, on Monday, July 23, we will not be making predictions. Same with Tuesday, July 24 (Dark Tuesday). We will do simple predictions with no analysis for Race 8-11 and Mondays Races. 

Race 1: Race 1 is a 6 1/2 Furlong race on the Main Track. In this race, we will be ignoring the heavy favorite J S Bach (1 & 1A). Taking into account the closers (Horses that finish the race very well), we can predict that Helooksthepart (5) will have a good race today. Helooksthepart is a great closer and has run well with Manuel Franco. Two risks are Full Salute (3) and Bolita Boyz (6). These two horses are stalkers (meaning that they like to stalk the front horses, and try and swoop in and win the race). Since stalkers have been struggling, this might be a risky move. You might want to do a $1 exacta 5 with the 3 and 6. Meaning that if the 5 and either the 3 or 6 come in, then you hit the exacta. (If the 3 & 6 were first and second it would not be a winner).

Race 2: Race 2 is a 1 1/16 Mile race on the Inner Turf Course. This race is a Maiden race for horses who have never won a race before. These horses are two years old, meaning that they are still young and unpredictable. In this race, I like My Macho (6). My Macho ran a terrible race last time, but the excuse was that the race was very short. Now, My Macho is running in a longer race where a closer is hard to beat. I also like Digital Footprint (8). This horse is trained by Chad Brown, who is an excellent turf trainer.

Race 3: Race 3 is a 7 Furlong race on the Main Track. This race is an Optional Claiming Race, but the competition makes it look like a Grade 1 race (Grade 1 races are filled with the best horses in the world). I like Awesome Slew (3) and Behavioral Bias (5). Both are great with their jockeys and have amazing records at 7 Furlongs. Awesome Slew has been facing much tougher competition and should be facing a much easier field. I am very confident that Awesome Slew can win this race. 

Race 4: Race 4 is a 1 3/16 Mile race on the Mellon Turf Course. This race unlike the previous is a terrible race. I like one horse, and that is the German horse Windjammer (7). Windjammer has a great name and has experience at these really long races. Other horses lack the experience and success that Windjammer has. Windjammer is not the favorite so you will be getting a great price when betting!

Race 5: Race 4 is a 6 Furlong race on the Main Track. This race confuses me, and I am not sure what to think of the race. I recommend you place small WPS bets on Shape Shifter (8) and Our Girl Abbey (9). Both have raced well, and have shown that they have a good experience at this distance. If you want, you can pair the two in a small exacta. This race is mainly up to your own judgment, because many of these horses have struggled, and you might find that a huge longshot, or unexpected horse to come in and win the race.

6. Race 6 is a 5 1/2 Furlong Race on the Main Track. This race is full of horses that need long distance. In this race, I like a trifecta consisting of Puttheglassdown (1), Nitrous (2), and Most Mischief (10). Nitrous and Most Mischief need a longer distance, as last race they did not have enough to close out the race. Now they are running 1 furlong more, meaning that they will have more time to close. I also like Puttheglassdown as a longshot, because her Sire Violence, has had offspring who won 21 races of their 92.

7. Race 7: Race 7 is a 1 3/8 Race on the Inner Turf Course. This race is nearly a mile long, meaning it will probably favor 1. Closers 2. A Pacecontrolling horse. In this race, I like Rocketry (8). Rocketry is an excellent closer, who likes to trail. In a Saratoga Track that so far has favored closers, I believe that Rocketry will breeze by its opponents. Like Race 3, this race is an Optional Claiming Race, but it feels like a Grade 2 or Grade 3 Race. 

Race 8: Exacta Conquest Tizfire (6) with Battle Jointed (10)
Race 9: WPS bets on Somebeyay (1) and Chase Greatness (6). Trifecta 1, 2, 6.
Race 10: Exacta New Money Honey (3) and A Raving Beauty (Ger) (6)
Race 11: Trifecta with War Stroll (4), Hieroglyphics (9), and Team Colors (11).