Saturday, August 8, 2020

Tiz the Law gives Hope to Horse Racing in Dominant Travers Win

As Tiz the Law, rounded the final turn, it looked like a pure domination, as he passed Uncle Chuck, and left behind a very tough field, he won by over 5 lengths as he looked towards the empty crowd. Tiz the Law has given hope to horse racing, with his heart and pure talent, he has dominated nearly every race he has run in, and unlike big stables who put down millions on expensive yearlings and 2 year old horses,  Tiz the Law is out of the first Constitution crop of horses, and was sold to a small racing stable. Where trainers like Bob Baffert push for extremely expensive horses to run in big, expensive races, we saw a true talent, win the most coveted Saratoga race, and one of the most coveted in the world.



Monday, August 3, 2020

Improbable Wins Whitney + HUGE Upset in Personal Ensign

On Saturday, we witnessed an exciting day of racing at Saratoga, including the Whitney, Allen Jerkens, Personal Ensign, and Bowling Green. Each of the races was very exciting, including some controversy in the Bowling Green, where Sadler's Joy was taken down from first place and put in last after impeding with several of the horses. This lead to Cross Border being put up for the win. 

In the Personal Ensign, Midnight Bisou, a heavy favorite was defeated by Vexatious stretch battle. In the previous summer, Vexatious nearly beat the heavily favored Blue Prize, who went on to win the Distaff, and defeated Midnight Bisou. This time, Vexatious got the best of the big favorite and looks primed to run in the Breeders Cup later this year. Regardless, it was still an incredible stretch duel and one of the top races of the year. 
In the Allen Jerkens, No Parole got out to an early lead as the favorite before collapsing in the stretch. Meanwhile, Steven Assmussen, took Echo Town for the win, in his first graded stakes win. Assmussen also had Shoplifted, who finished third in the race. 
Finally, in the Whitney Stakes, the favorite Tom's d'Etat had troubles getting into position early on in the race, which lead to him being placed far back. Meanwhile, Mr. Buff led very slow fractions down the backstretch, with Improbable sitting right behind him. Because of this, Improbable got an easy run towards the front and took over the race, winning the Whitney. By My Standards finished second, Tom's d'Etat finished third with a late charge, and Code of Honor finished a disappointing fourth. Mr. Buff finished fourth. 

Credit to NYRA and Breeders Cup for Clips

Saratoga Springs Racing will return on Friday with early picks for Travers Day, and the featured card. Enjoy the races till then. 

Saturday, August 1, 2020

Whitney and Personal Ensign Analysis Featuring Tom's d'Etat and Midnight Bisou.

Today, we. will watch some of the most talented horses come to Saratoga for races such as the Allen H. Jerkens, Personal Ensign, and the Whitney Stakes, where these races will give us early peeks into some of the top Breeders Cup contenders. Today, we will be doing a full analysis of the Personal Ensign and the Whitney Stakes, both Grade 1 races. 


The Personal Ensign (G1): This race is a race that Midnight Bisou, the best mare in the country, and one of the best horses in the world, will hope to dominate the competition here at 2-5. There is no doubt that she is the best horse in this field, as she made Serengeti Empress, winner of the Kentucky Oaks last year, look like a pony. Motion Emotion or Vexatious will look to challenge her, along with Point of Honor, but if you want any value in this race, you will need to pair Midnight Bisou with a longer shot like Vexatious or Motion Emotion. Vexatious nearly beat Blue Prize last year in the Summer Colony, only loosing by a neck, and has run decently since that outing, but just is not up to par to win this race. Motion Emotion finished second to Midnight Bisou last time out int he Fleur de Lis (G2) and she has run decently in the past. She seems to be a solid second choice here to give this race some value. Point of Honor has run very well in the past, but her speed figures just are not up to par with the rest of the contenders, even if she has run fairly well in races such as the Ogden Phillips (2nd)(G1) and the Apple Blossom (3rd)(G1).


The Whitney (G1): The biggest and most important race on the card, as whoever wins this race will go on as a possible favorite in the Breeders Cup Classic, plus a free ticket to the Classic in November. By My Standards will look to rebound off a solid 2nd place in. the Stephen Foster (G2), against rival Tom's d'Etat. Before that, he had won 3 straight races, including the Oaklawn Handicap and the New Orleans Classic. Improbable is coming off an impressive 3 length win in the Gold Cup (G1) at Santa Anita. Before that, the City Zip colt had struggled, with a 5th in the breeders Cup Mile, and his lone win being a 98k stakes at Del Mar. Code of Honor, who came to Saratoga last year for the Travers, will return back to try and make another run at the Classic. He is coming off a close third to Vekoma in the Metropolitan, and the race seemed too short for his liking. Today, he will have more distance, and he seems to be in solid form for this race. Mr. Buff has dominated at the NY bred stakes ranks, but he has struggled in graded company and this race just seems to be way out of his ability. Tom's d'Etat, one of the best horses in the US, will look to stamp his ticket to the Classic with a win here.  He is the best horse in the race, coming of 4 straight wins of 100+ Beyer figures, but the speed has not been working at Saratoga recently.  Though, I think he might just be way better than any bias, he will still have a very tough test coming from By My Standards, Improbable, and Code of Honor. Even Mr. Buff could give him pace problems today which could affect his chances in this race.